Transcorp Hotels PLC; Proven resilience amidst strong economic headwinds.

We arrived at a target price of N24.6 per share on Transcorp hotel PLC based on a mix of two valuations metrics- the DCF model with an intrinsic share value of N27, and the DDM with an intrinsic share value of N22. We attributed a weight of 60% and 40% to each methodology, respectively, to arrive at our target price.

Corruption and COVID-19

Corruption, the abuse of public office for private gain, is about more than wasted money: it erodes the social contract and corrodes the government’s ability to help grow the economy in a way that benefits all citizens. ut the COVID-19 pandemic has heightened the importance of stronger governance for three reasons.

COVID-19 is Reducing Domestic Remittances in Africa: What does it Mean for Poor Households?

The amount remitted by migrants from Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has grown tenfold in two decades, from $4.8 billion in 2000 to $48 billion in 2018. This reflects a steady increase in the number of people who decided to move in search of a better life: from 21.6 million in 2000, the number of migrants from Africa grew to 36.3 million in 2017.

Reopening from the Great Lockdown: Uneven and Uncertain Recovery

Compared to the April World Economic Outlook forecast, the IMF now projects a deeper recession in 2020 and a slower recovery in 2021. Global output is projected to decline by -4.9 percent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below our April forecast, followed by a partial recovery, with growth at 5.4 percent in 2021.

US Shale Could Crash the Oil Market Recovery

The oil price crash was the result of a severe decline in international oil demand thanks to the spread of the novel coronavirus, made infinitely worse by an ensuing oil price war between the leading OPEC+ members of Saudi Arabia and Russia.

Cashing In: How to Make Negative Interest Rates Work

By Ruchir Agarwal and Signe Krogstrup, IMF Blog / Image Credit: IMF Many central banks reduced policy interest rates to zero during the global financial crisis to boost growth. Ten years later, interest rates remain low in most countries. While the global economy has been recovering, future downturns are inevitable. Severe recessions have historically required 3–6 percentage points cut […]

Tracking Trade During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Most trade takes place by sea, and—for navigational safety purposes—virtually all cargo ships report their position, speed, and other information many times a day. A new IMF methodology using these data can help better inform us how international trade is affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Operational Lessons for COVID-19: What can we Learn from Past Outbreaks?

By JACOB BATHANTI and DEBRA LADNER / Image Credit: World Bank As COVID-19 (coronavirus) spreads around the world, governments and development organizations are thinking hard about how to respond effectively. Trajectories of the epidemic have varied widely among countries as governments adopt a range of policies to contain it. These efforts raise the question of […]

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