Nigeria: A Frail Giant?

Since President Muhammadu Buhari’s re-election in 2019, the country has faced a myriad of social and economic challenges. Inflation had surged from 11.40% in May 2019 to 17.33% last month; the Naira has been devalued three times, losing 33% of its value, insecurity has increased, and the general investment climate has waned. All these have happened while Nigerians have not seen any meaningful increase in their economic welfare: the country slumped into a second recession in five years. Many states have found it challenging to implement the new minimum wage signed into law in 2019. We also note that even if all the states had implemented the new minimum wage, the total number of civil servants to the entire labour force is considerably low. To sum it, you would still be worse off if you hold 2X the same Naira note you had in 2010 today.

Analysis of the Debt Profile of Nigerian States

Analysis into the domestic debt profile of the 36 states and FCT shows that Lagos state with total debt of N444.23 billion has the highest domestic debt stock outstanding among the states and this represents 10.82% of the total domestic debt stock. Lagos, Abuja and Port Harcourt in combined have total debt worth 19.92% of the total domestic debt stock of the 36 states and the FCT. Of the top 10 states based on debt, only Lagos, Ogun, Rivers, Akwa-Ibom and Delta states are among the top 10 states based on 2019 Internally IGR.

After COVID-19, Comes the Debt

The Build Up Global borrowing has been rising so rapidly due to recent economic events and incidents around the world, that many are worried is becoming unsustainable. According to the new OECD forecasts, as increasingly stringent containment measures required to control the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19), would inevitably lead to significant short-term if not long-term […]

Download Data on Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth

In the excel file below, nominal GDP data was used as a proxy to measure economic growth and this serves as the independent variable. Multilateral Debt, Paris Club Debt, London Club Debt, Promissory Notes and other debts are used as proxy to measure external debt and they are the independent variables. All the data were […]

Nigeria Has Both Debt and Revenue Problem

This research article aims to provide answers to the differences in analysts opinions on Nigeria having a debt problem or revenue problem by providing trend analysis of debt servicing in Nigeria, as well as compare debt services with capital expenditure over the period. It concluded by examining the budgeted revenue and actual revenue in 2018 to come about a conclusion on whether Nigeria has a debt problem or revenue problem.

Understanding Lagos State Finances and its Preference for External Debt over Internal Debt

Lagos State Government recently released its financial statement and we provide an insightful analysis into the state finances and its debt profile.

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