Research and Analytics
Research and Analytics
We recommend a BUY on DANGSUGAR based on our target price of N26.31. This representing a potential 72.0% upside on the closing price of N15.30 as of 14th December, 2022.
Year-to-date (YTD), DANGSUGAR has dropped -10% compared to +13.54% and -5.4% for the NGX-ASI and the NGX-CONSUMER GOODS index respectively. Due to this, the stock is trading at its 52-week low of N15.30 per share, creating a value opportunity for investors.
This stock pitch was prepared and presented by Ayebawanaemi Solomon, Ailende Edna, Lawal Hamzah Ajisafe Damilola and Chisom Nwankwo
United Capital Plc has seen steady growth in both top and bottom lines over the years, and we expect both to continue to grow at double digits over the next five years. The company’s Return on Equity (ROE) has averaged over 30% in the past 5 years. This is one of the highest among publicly listed financial service companies and highlights the company’s strong value creation for its shareholders. We recommend a buy for the stock based on our findings and the future prospects of the company. Our blended target price of N15.10 suggests a potential upside of 20.8% compared to the current share price of N12.50 (24th October, 2022). The target price was arrived at by using a weighted average of 65% for the DDM method and 35% for the comparable method of valuation.
The company also has the following market value ratios:
P/E ratio: 6.7X (FY-21 EPS: N1.88)
Forward P/E: 5.2X (FY-22 EPS: N2.41)
Dividend yield: 12% (last dividend reported: N1.50)
P/B ratio: 2.55X (Book value: N4.9)
Dangote Sugar Refinery PLC (DANGSUGAR) recently released its H1-22 financial performance, showing top line and bottom line growth of 40.5% y/y and 60.6% y/y, respectively. In this report, one of our trainees at the GA Academy 2.0 analysed the company’s financial performance and update our outlook for the rest of the year.
An examination of the NBS inflation data shows that this is the highest since September 2005 when the inflation rate hit 24.32% year-on-year. On a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rose by 1.82% in July 2022. This is the same as the rate recorded in June 2022 (1.82% m/m). In our view, higher energy prices and continued depreciation of the local currency against the US Dollar were the key drivers behind this uptick.
