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  • Africa & World Economy

    Managing Divergent Recoveries

    Sheriffdeen Adeoti / April 6, 2021

    It is one year into the COVID-19 pandemic and the global community still confronts extreme social and economic strain as the human toll rises and millions remain unemployed. Yet, even with high uncertainty…

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  • Africa & World Economy

    How Rising Interest Rates Could Affect Emerging Markets

    Aminu Musa / April 5, 2021

    Emerging and developing economies are viewing rising interest rates with trepidation. Most of them are facing a slower economic recovery than advanced economies because of longer waits for vaccines and limited space for…

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  • black woman in mask choosing food in street bakery
    Africa & World Economy

    Slow-Healing Scars: The Pandemic’s Legacy

    Adebisi Samuel / March 31, 2021

    Recessions wreak havoc and the damage is often long-lived. Businesses shut down, investment spending is cut, and people out of work can lose skills and motivation as the months stretch on. But the…

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  • Africa & World Economy,  Agencies

    The Great Divergence: A Fork in the Road for the Global Economy

    Joshua Olorunsaiye / February 25, 2021

    As our note to the G20 meeting points out, there is a major risk that as advanced economies and a few emerging markets recover faster, most developing countries will languish for years to…

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  • Africa & World Economy,  Agencies

    Structural Factors and Central Bank Credibility Limit Inflation Risks

    Joshua Olorunsaiye / February 20, 2021

    After ending last year with unexpectedly strong vaccine success and hope that the pandemic and economic distress it caused would recede, we woke up to the reality of new virus variants and the…

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  • Africa & World Economy,  Agencies

    When it Comes to Services vs. Manufacturing, Words Matter

    Joshua Olorunsaiye / February 17, 2021

    Efforts to revive national manufacturing sectors get a lot of airtime. After all, the sector propelled many East and South-East Asian economies—the so-called “East Asia Miracle”—and was a gateway to the middle class…

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  • Africa & World Economy,  Agencies

    Is It Time To Tax Stock Trading?

    Joshua Olorunsaiye / February 10, 2021

    In the economist's utopian vision of the stock market, clearheaded investors diligently evaluate companies and invest only in the ones they expect to grow and thrive. In the process, investors direct resources where…

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  • Africa & World Economy,  Agencies

    A Race Between Vaccines and the Virus as Recoveries Diverge

    Joshua Olorunsaiye / January 28, 2021

    In just three months since we released our last forecast in October, recorded COVID-19 deaths have doubled to over 2 million, as new waves have lifted infections past previous peaks in many countries.…

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  • Africa & World Economy

    Financial Perils in Check for Now, Eyes Turn to Risk of Market Correction

    Aminu Musa / January 27, 2021

    Prices for stocks, corporate bonds, and other risk assets have risen higher on the news of vaccine rollouts. Financial markets have shrugged off rising COVID-19 cases, betting that continued policy support will offset…

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  • Africa & World Economy,  Agencies

    What the Continued Global Uncertainty Means for You,

    Joshua Olorunsaiye / January 23, 2021

    Global uncertainty reached unprecedented levels at the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak and remains elevated. The World Uncertainty Index—a quarterly measure of global economic and policy uncertainty covering 143 countries—shows that although uncertainty…

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