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  • Economy

    Nigeria: A Frail Giant?

    Fawaz Ayobami / April 8, 2021

    Since President Muhammadu Buhari's re-election in 2019, the country has faced a myriad of social and economic challenges. Inflation had surged from 11.40% in May 2019 to 17.33% last month; the Naira has…

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  • Economy

    The Unholy Union Between the Naira and Devaluation

    Fawaz Ayobami / February 28, 2021

    In 2020, the Naira lost 25% and 27% of its value at the NAFEX and parallel exchanges, respectively. This quickly disrupted my plans, as I had planned to upskill and purchase some courses…

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  • Economy

    A Beginner’s Guide to CBN’s Ways and Means to the Federal Government of Nigeria

    Abdulazeez Kuranga / January 26, 2021

    CBN’s financing of the FGN deficits seems to be a structural one and not a one-off event. This is because historical data has shown that the CBN has been financing a huge part…

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  • Economy

    Why Restricting FX For Food Import is a Misplaced Priority

    Adedayo Bakare / December 31, 2020

    When you look at the size of Nigeria's neighbours, you wonder what all the fuss is about. You worry about smuggling but look at the total size of Benin's imports - ridiculously low.…

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  • Economy

    Policy Trilemma and Interest Rate Behaviour in Nigeria

    Joshua Olorunsaiye / November 18, 2020

    Policy makers face trade-off in dealing with exchange rate management, monetary independence and concerns about capital mobility simultaneously. This study empirically examines the effects of Nigeria’s trilemma policy path on interest rate using…

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  • Economy

    The Economics of Big Brother Naija (BBN)

    Abdulazeez Kuranga / October 2, 2020

    A huge part of the revenue from SMS goes to the telecoms operators. Specifically, MTN rakes in 70% of the revenue, Glo rakes in 80% while Airtel rakes in 75%. Withholding tax of…

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  • Economy

    Implication of the Forex Ban on Food Items

    Sheriffdeen Adeoti / September 19, 2020

    With 84% of Nigeria’s export (as at Q2’2020) as oil products, we reiterate that Nigeria does not really have an import problem. Nigeria has an export problem and until that problem is solved,…

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  • Economy

    [Archive] From Recession to Growth: The Story Of Nigeria’s Recovery from the 2016 Economic Recession

    Abdulazeez Kuranga / August 30, 2020

    Being a Paper presented by Godwin I. Emefiele, Governor, Central Bank of Nigeria at the Special Convocation of the University of Nigeria, Nsukka, on Friday, May 17, 2019 at the Princess Alexandra Auditorium,…

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  • Economy

    2021-2023 MTEF: Key Implications and Market Impact

    Abdulazeez Kuranga / August 28, 2020

    We recently received the 2021-2023 Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) released by the budget office of the Federation. We have thus provided an update on the key highlights,…

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  • Economy

    Analysis of Nigeria’s Fiscal Revenue from January to April 2020

    Sheriffdeen Adeoti / August 27, 2020

    ₦1.25 trillion was expected to be generated in January and February, however, ₦952.5 billion and ₦845.1 billion was generated respectively implying that only 76% and 68% of expected revenue were achieved. The month…

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