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Nigeria: A Frail Giant?
Since President Muhammadu Buhari's re-election in 2019, the country has faced a myriad of social and economic challenges. Inflation had surged from 11.40% in May 2019 to 17.33% last month; the Naira has…
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The Unholy Union Between the Naira and Devaluation
In 2020, the Naira lost 25% and 27% of its value at the NAFEX and parallel exchanges, respectively. This quickly disrupted my plans, as I had planned to upskill and purchase some courses…
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A Beginner’s Guide to CBN’s Ways and Means to the Federal Government of Nigeria
CBN’s financing of the FGN deficits seems to be a structural one and not a one-off event. This is because historical data has shown that the CBN has been financing a huge part…
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Why Restricting FX For Food Import is a Misplaced Priority
When you look at the size of Nigeria's neighbours, you wonder what all the fuss is about. You worry about smuggling but look at the total size of Benin's imports - ridiculously low.…
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Policy Trilemma and Interest Rate Behaviour in Nigeria
Policy makers face trade-off in dealing with exchange rate management, monetary independence and concerns about capital mobility simultaneously. This study empirically examines the effects of Nigeria’s trilemma policy path on interest rate using…
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The Economics of Big Brother Naija (BBN)
A huge part of the revenue from SMS goes to the telecoms operators. Specifically, MTN rakes in 70% of the revenue, Glo rakes in 80% while Airtel rakes in 75%. Withholding tax of…
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Implication of the Forex Ban on Food Items
With 84% of Nigeria’s export (as at Q2’2020) as oil products, we reiterate that Nigeria does not really have an import problem. Nigeria has an export problem and until that problem is solved,…
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[Archive] From Recession to Growth: The Story Of Nigeria’s Recovery from the 2016 Economic Recession
Being a Paper presented by Godwin I. Emefiele, Governor, Central Bank of Nigeria at the Special Convocation of the University of Nigeria, Nsukka, on Friday, May 17, 2019 at the Princess Alexandra Auditorium,…
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2021-2023 MTEF: Key Implications and Market Impact
We recently received the 2021-2023 Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) and Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP) released by the budget office of the Federation. We have thus provided an update on the key highlights,…
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Analysis of Nigeria’s Fiscal Revenue from January to April 2020
₦1.25 trillion was expected to be generated in January and February, however, ₦952.5 billion and ₦845.1 billion was generated respectively implying that only 76% and 68% of expected revenue were achieved. The month…
